When asked which candidate they would vote for in their congressional district if the election were held today, 46% of registered voters now choose the Democrat; 44% pick the Republican.
shows Republicans gaining ground in the closing weeks of the 2022 midterm campaign, narrowing Democrats’ longstanding lead to just 2 percentage points — their slimmest to date.
Among registered voters who say they will “definitely” vote on Election Day or have voted already, the race is even tighter: 48% side with Democrats and 47% side with Republicans. In early September, Democrats led this group by 3 points . Over the last three Yahoo News/YouGov polls, Democratic support among registered voters has held steady: 45%, then 45%, then 46%. It’s Republican support that has gone from 39% to 41% to 44%. The number of voters who say they’re “not sure” is shrinking — and more of them have been gravitating toward the GOP than the Dems.
In short, voters who have long intended to vote Democratic are becoming more likely to say they approve of the president — while voters who say they disapprove of the president are becoming more likely to actually vote Republican. And to be sure, there are signs in the latest Yahoo News/YouGov survey that Democrats are doing better than they would have if Roe were still the law of the land.
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