Back for our Ask a Climatologist segment, Brian Brettschneider says we can’t draw many conclusions from what we've seen of winter so far.
A dog runs on frozen, snow-covered Goose Lake in Anchorage on Sunday, Nov. 6, 2022. For a lot of Alaskans, it’s a season that’s not entirely defined by a specific period on the calendar as much as, you know it when you see it. The snow-covered landscape. The frosty breath. Maybe sea ice forming on the coastline.
Brettschneider — back for our Ask a Climatologist segment — points to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s long-term forecast for a third La Niña winter in a row, but he says we can’t draw too many conclusions from the winter we’ve seen so far.Brian Brettschneider So NOAA just came out with their seasonal outlooks, and they look at a couple of things. There’s always going to be uncertainty on what happens on relatively short timescales. We don’t know where the jet stream is going to be and what the trajectory of sea ice is going to be and so on. But the largest contributor to the seasonal forecast is La Niña. And more times than not, La Niña winters are colder than average in Alaska. Not every time but a majority of times.
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