Analysis | Here is the horse that can beat Epicenter at the Preakness Stakes

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Analysis | Here is the horse that can beat Epicenter at the Preakness Stakes
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Analysis: Epicenter is a heavy and deserving favorite at the Preakness, but Simplification is worth a long look.

, went five-wide approaching the far turn and then was pushed further out, seven-wide, entering the stretch. That forced him to cover more ground than all horses in the field save Rich Strike, White Abarrio and Pioneer of Medina. After adjusting his final speed for distance traveled, Simplification had the second-highest raw speed in the race , trailing only the eventual winner, Rich Strike.

Simplification’s pedigree fell a bit short for the Kentucky Derby, but the shorter distance in the Preakness may be to his benefit. He and Epicenter have the same sire , and both have Candy Ride as their maternal grandsire. Not This Time is a son of Giant’s Causeway, a known provider of stamina, while Candy Ride is a sire of six champions, including 2017 horse of the year Gun Runner.

As you can see, the reasons to back Epicenter also apply to Simplification. They have displayed similar speed and a comparable pedigree, with the primary difference being some lucky breaks in recent graded stakes races. Their running styles are similar, too. Both have shown the ability to win wire-to-wire and rate close to the first flight of horses at the half-mile marker.

The similarities between Epicenter and Simplification are multifarious, enough to warrant a long look at the less prominent horse Saturday. That isn’t to say Simplification deserves to be the favorite, but he certainly has value at a price higher than 5-1 on race day.Horse racing can be intimidating to newcomers.

will help you navigate the lingo, assist you in evaluating horses and give you the proper tools to enjoy a day at the races.It’s not enough to know which horse is the fastest or has the best connections. Here is

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