Best NBA player props for March 21. NBA player prop projections, odds, and best bets today, including point props, rebound props, and more.
Jon Metler's NBA betting picks are sensing some soft lines in the NBA player props as March Madness takes center stage, and he'll attack three of them on Thursday night, including Donte DiVincenzo's assist prop vs. the Nuggets.Don't let March Madness distract you from the fact that we have seven games on the NBA schedule on Thursday and plenty ofMarch Madness is a massive event when it comes to sports betting and requires a lot of focus from the trading teams at the sportsbooks.
Even if you look at Vucevic's last two games where he has combined for only two assists, he is averaging six potential assists in those two games. That's a massive number for someone trading at 2.5 . The opportunities are there for Vucevic, he just needs his teammates to make the shots. He should receive some help on that front on Thursday as Coby White was a full participant at practice and looks like he should return to the Bulls lineup on Thursday.
When you break down the numbers, there is an argument to be made that you could play Irving Over 5.5 assists at +130 instead of laying -135 on the 4.5. The expected value is around 1% higher for the Over 5.5 at a juice of +130. I'm sticking with the 4.5 for Irving even though the EV is technically 1% lower. The spread on this game is -14.5 for the Mavericks, and there is potential for a blowout by the Mavericks.
The Nuggets are a strong defensive team, and they are going to look to keep Brunson from getting to his spots in the mid-range game and penetrating the lane to create shots for others. The Nuggets will prevent this by stunting a bunch on his drives, and the Knicks countered last time by making DiVincenzo one pass away from Brunson.
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