Free picks for WNBA player prop bets on August 18. WNBA player prop odds, predictions, and best basketball bets.
In many instances, I’m hesitant to bank on players going over their average coming off a back-to-back like the Liberty are. But I’m backing two such plays today, the second beingStewart scored only 26 points on 7-31 shooting over her past two games, both against Las Vegas. She’ll be making a point to come out strong against Phoenix, who, not for nothing, she dropped 43 points against earlier this season.
After going against the swarming intensity of A’ja Wilson or Kiah Stokes hounding you on every possession, playing against the Mercury is going to feel like playing in low gravity for Stewie. Unlike most MVP team-ups, there is very little overlap in Stewie and JJ’s games. While they both score, defend, and shoot, they don't occupy the same parts of the court, and their talents serve to naturally amplify each other. Jonquel stretching the floor at the five allows Stewie to abuse smaller forwards in the midrange, while Stewart handling the ball above the arc lets Jones dominate other centers one on one in the paint.
Stewart is one of the very worst matchups for the Mercury because they don’t have a true forward-sized player who can move with her the way she does, coming off screens for three, making hard cuts to the basket, and pulling up smoothly from the midrange. While Griner might otherwise take away some of the pressure at the rim in another matchup, she’ll be limited in her rim protection impact due to the presence of Jones.
At this level of competition, it’s never about whether Stewie can score, it’s the degree to which she wants to. If she wants to get 30, only a handful of teams can truly deny her. And having just been denied twice, I’m banking on Stewart coming out guns blazing against the Mercury.
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