President JoeBiden's low approval hasn't sunk Democrats in midterms Analysis by DavidMDrucker:
President Joe Biden’s job approval numbers are lousy — better than they used to be, but still lousy. Inflation is still sky-high. Oh, sure, prices of household goods are climbing slower than earlier in the year. But they are still gracing the stratosphere. And lest it be forgotten, this is the issue that voters, especially the all-important independent voters, care most about. Add in rising crime and a porous Southern border and Nov. 8 should be an absolute disaster for the Democratic Party.
“You have to give the Democrats credit for the way they have muddied the waters with fake polling,” mocked Curt Anderson, senior advisor to Sen. Rick Scott , chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, the Senate GOP campaign arm. Scott predicts Republicans will win the Senate majority and has laid down a specific marker: Republicans will pick up a net of two seats in the midterm elections and enter the 118th Congress with 52 seats — at the very least.
The potential for the abortion issue to temper big Republican gains was showcased in an August special election to fill a vacant swing district in upstate New York. Biden defeated Trump in the 19th Congressional District in 2020 49.8% to 48.3% — a margin of just 1.5 percentage points. Yet despite Republicans dominating Democrats on all of the important electoral fundamentals, now-Rep. Pat Ryan beat Republican Marc Molinaro in the special election 51.1% to 48.9%.
Trump is back in the news in the aftermath of the FBI executing a search warrant at Mar-a-Lago, his residence and private social club in Palm Beach, Florida, as part of an investigation into the former president’s alleged mishandling of classified documents. And in sharing top media billing with Biden, the actual president, Trump could remind Democrats why they flocked to the polls in 2020, motivating them to turn out in similarly supercharged numbers this year.
Expounding on the Democrats’ theory of the case for avoiding a midterm election drubbing, Taylor said, “Democrats that are delivering or a Republican Party that will do anything — even attack our democracy and rip away women’s freedom — to gain power for themselves.”
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