Brock Purdy odds, player prop pick, and SGP for Monday Night Football Week 7 between the San Francisco 49ers and Minnesota Vikings.
After an uncharacteristically poor performance vs. the Browns in Week 6, Brock Purdy is looking for a rebound vs. the Vikings. Our NFL betting picks think he'll thrive in a much better matchup in Week 7's MNF tilt with Minnesota.
Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores runs an aggressive defense and as a result, the youth and inconsistent play at cornerback has been taken advantage of against the better quarterbacks they’ve faced. Opposite Murphy, corner Akayleb Evans has allowed a QB rating of 116.4 when targeted with a 71.9% completion rate and 8.1 yards per target. He’s dealing with an oblique injury and is listed as questionable, which might force rookie Mekhi Blackmon into the lineup. In limited snaps, Blackmon has struggled too with a 129.5 QB rating when targeted.
The 49ers sit second in the NFL in EPA per play on offense behind Kyle Shanahan’s play-calling and first in EPA per dropback thanks to Purdy’s efficiency and the playmakers around him. , and potentially Christian McCaffrey. Given Shanahan’s ability to design pass-catchers open and Minnesota’s soft spot in the secondary, Purdy should be set up to succeed.
When Shanahan dials up play-action deep and intermediate passes, Aiyuk will be in perfect position to create separation against this secondary. He’s been by far Purdy’s most targeted pass catcher this season too despite missing a game.
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