China's trade likely shrank further in Nov as external, local demand weakened

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China's trade likely shrank further in Nov as external, local demand weakened
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China's exports and imports likely contracted further in November due to weakening global demand, production disruptions and waning demand at home amid widespread pandemic controls, a Reuters poll showed on Monday.

Data for November are expected to show a 3.5% fall in outbound shipments from a year earlier, after October's figures were down an annual 0.3%, according to the median forecast of 28 economists in the poll. That would mark the worst performance since May 2020.

The frail economists' estimate for exports suggests cooling global demand that has been hurt by higher interest rates in major economies will heap more pressure on policymakers in China, as the country's property downturn and struggle to contain COVID-19 continue to take a toll on the economy.

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