The top Oscars race is getting too close to call, writes DavidCanfield97.
It’s official: We’ve got a sprint to the finish. Coming off of yet another topsy-turvy weekend in the world of awards, Oscar front-runnerKing Richard
long circled that role, but while they can’t entirely be counted out, the Sundance sensation turned Apple TV+ breakouttoo, taking the top awards from PGA, WGA, and SAG—three of the big four industry guilds, a show of true peer support. Over a series of events from this past month, colleagues around town couldn’t get enough of, either. It’s a groundbreaking piece, featuring a predominantly deaf lead cast with dialogue mostly signed, but also an affecting crowd-pleaser.
After all, these aren’t random, coincidental data points. The Academy—unlike SAG-AFTRA, which comprises actors and other on-camera personalities—is a diverse body representing many disciplines of filmmaking in significant numbers. A movie receiving nominations from only one or two branches likely faces an uphill climb to the top; the more branches that nominate you, the more likely they all are to vote for you in best picture.
, and given where we are now—with Oscar voting about to close, and the ceremony six days away—there is a case to be made for’s trajectory recalls, almost eerily, that of 2006’sThese two heartwarming family tales were both made on small budgets, launched to ecstatic reactions out of the Sundance Film Festival, and sustained by industry adoration that developed gradually. Both went into wide release in August. Both won SAG’s ensemble award.
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