Column: Here's why the House is likely to flip while the Senate remains up in the air

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Column: Here's why the House is likely to flip while the Senate remains up in the air
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Republicans need just five more seats to take control of the House. The battle for the Senate could go into overtime.

The Supreme Court abortion ruling has boosted Democratic Sen. Patty Murray’s reelection hopes. Her Republican rival is focusing on inflation, crime.Surveys suggest most of the key Senate races are exceedingly close. But bear in mind, this is a highly unusual midterm election, which means any forecasts should be taken with an extra dollop of caution.No one alive has ever seen anything like the Jan. 6 insurrection.

And then, not least, there’s the congenitally attention-seeking Trump. He’s kept himself brashly in the news like no other ex-president, drawing at least some of the focus away from Biden ahead of the midterms, which are typically a referendum on the incumbent and his policies. All of that has boosted Democratic hopes that November will bring something more akin to a red wavelet than a tsunami. But there’s still a considerable ways to go.That’s it!— which is to say they are unlikely to result in a partisan shift in power.

Two likely exceptions are Maryland and Massachusetts, blue states that seem destined to flip to Democrats after Republicans nominated Trump loyalists. The best hopes for Republican gains appear to be in Kansas, Nevada and Wisconsin. In the meantime, an unusual

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