MLB home run prop bets for July 4th Thursday, including why Austin Riley is ready for a second half surge.
There are plenty of favorable hitting conditions across Major League Baseball, and I’m banking on some of the premier sluggers to cash in for us, including Juan Soto, Austin Riley and Christian Yelich.Soto is as dangerous as any hitter in the big leagues .
Facing Frankie Montas, who has seen his fastball diminish as he gets shelled by hard contact, but particularly by lefty hitters. Montas has allowed six homers to left handed hitters in his 15 starts, far more than the two he has allowed to righties.Riley has had an injury riddled 2024 season, but he is still an elite slugger, posting a 90th percentile hard-hit percentage and an xSLG of .500. However, he has a slugging percentage of just .434, so some positive regression is likely coming.
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