The Cowboys are running out of time to get a contract done with Dak Prescott. Are they doomed no matter what happens next?
Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is looking at the NFL's first $60 million-per-year deal, but will he get that contract from Dallas? , with episodes released once a week. Barnwell joined ESPN in 2011 as a staff writer at Grantland. Follow him on Twitter here:in 2021 have left the franchise in an intensely vulnerable position as the season approaches. With Prescott's price only rising, the Cowboys run a serious risk of losing him for nothing in 2025.
The time to sign Prescott to an extension without being as vulnerable to his leverage would have been last offseason, when he was coming off a 15-interception season and was still two years away from unrestricted free agency. Dallas instead spent money elsewhere on its roster, attempting to build the best possible team while wide receiver, adding two veterans on significant contracts to the roster.
Prescott had consistently ranked as a quarterback in the bottom half of the top 10 at that point, and not much has changed since. While his 2022 season was struck by interception variance, he has been among the league's best quarterbacks. From 2021 to 2023, he ranked fifth in QBR, trailing. He ranks eighth in yards per dropback and fourth in expected points added per dropback over that stretch.
There will be no shortage of suitors for Prescott if he becomes a free agent next offseason. Just considering teams that have clear question marks about their quarterback situation after this season, the Giants, Seahawks, Dolphins, Jets, Steelers, Titans and Raiders could all be in Prescott discussions without anything wild happening.
In addition to that significant dead money hit, Dallas would need to find a replacement for its longtime starter under center. The identity of that quarterback may determine how it would approach the rest of its roster in the years to come. Backup quarterback Trey Lance could be the No. 1 candidate to replace Dak Prescott if Prescott leaves in free agency in 2025. Does Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers moving on from Lance prove he was a wasted pick? Maybe, but again, consider the context. The 49ers were transforming their offense to account for Lance. In 2021, Garoppolo averaged 7.3 air yards per throw, which ranked 29th among passers with at least 50 attempts. Lance's 10.2 air yards per throw ranked No. 1 in the league.
The Cowboys could commit to paying Cousins at least that $37.5 million for one year of work, with $27.5 million guaranteed in 2025 and another $10 million guaranteed for 2026, regardless of whether he is on the roster. If he sticks around, the Cowboys would pay him $72.5 million for two years, or an average of $36.3 million per season. That's just over half of what Prescott is projected to make per year on his new deal.
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