Early voting in the 2022 election cycle is on track to shatter turnout records from prior midterm cycles, with over 36 million early votes cast by Friday afternoon, according to data compiled by the U.S. Elections Project at the University of Florida.
Expected to surpass the record-breaking 39 million early votes the U.S. Elections Project found cast in the 2018 midterm elections, analysts believe early voting turnout in the 2022 cycle will be the highest of any midterm cycle in recent history."This will definitely be the top one," Jeffrey Jones, senior editor at Gallup, told the Washington Examiner."The trend is definitely up.
While expected to exceed prior midterm election cycles, the early voting turnout figures for 2022 are considerably short of the whopping 101.4 million early votes cast in the 2020 presidential cycle that the U.S. Elections Project recorded, which came during the thick of the COVID-19 pandemic. This does not appear to be an outlier for the Peach State. During the primary season, about 1.9 million voted in the gubernatorial primary, surpassing the roughly 1.2 million who cast their ballots in the 2018 cycle, FiveThirtyEight reported.To Georgia's west, however, early voting does not appear to be on the rise in Texas. Some 2.7 million Texans cast ballots eight days into early voting, compared to 3.3 million who did so by that point in the 2018 cycle, according to the Texas Tribune.
By party, Democrats have the edge over Republicans, accounting for 43.8% of the early vote tracked, compared to 33.7% from Republicans and 22.5% from outside the duopoly. In line with most elections, younger voters make up a smaller share of the vote. Zoomers accounted for about 4.4% of the early turnout, compared to millennials at 9.8%, those aged 41 to 65 at 40.8%, and voters over 65 at 44.9%.One consequence of the early voting surge is that on election night, there could be another red mirage akin to 2020, in which Republicans start off strong but Democrats begin to close in as early votes get tabulated, Jones noted.
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