The ANC’s national support base has dropped by a shocking 7.4% from the 2014 general elections and it could completely lose Gauteng province.
The latest survey on voter intentions in the May 8 general election shows the ANC could lose its majority, prompting the question if the ruling party will lose power sooner than expected, or whether the country is headed for a coalition government.
He said: “The ANC and the EFF are locked in a battle between 5% and 10% of alienated black ANC voters. Despite a recent ANC study indicating President Cyril Ramaphosa was more popular than his party, the IRR study showed that may not translate into votes for the ANC. Interestingly, an IRR study conducted in mid-2018 put the EFF at 13%, an indication the new party is becoming a force to be reckoned with in South African politics.
Should the survey results be realised, coalitions are likely to be formed between the DA, EFF and smaller parties on the one hand, or between the ANC and EFF on the other. But this will depend on post-election horse trading.
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