ERCOT’s 2030 demand load projection shocked Texas lawmakers, but some experts say that estimate is overblown.
Energy experts are challenging the state grid operator’s jaw-dropping projection for how high electrical demand could rise by 2030, saying that even as Texas faces explosive growth, there is no way its thirst for electricity will reach 150 gigawatt in less than six years — a forecast that has put lawmakers in a tizzy. To date, the highest peak demand recorded by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas is about 85.5 gigawatts.
's changes to Uri-inspired reserve program, endorse some updates ’s estimate origins After to consider proposed development in the queue, even projects that are speculative and not backed by things such as signed contracts or interconnection agreements. said. “The first part of the process is to establish a bounded load level which provides a baseline of the expected load growth excluding any large load including crypto, data center, hydrogen, and oil and gas load.”
and they assume it will become reality,” Arteaga said. “That’s why the numbers are so ridiculously high.” A grain of salt Arteaga isn’t the only one questioning In AI arms race, San Antonio data centers wonder, ‘does CPS have the juice?’ Much of the June hearings focused on lawmakers concerned that cryptocurrency miners will increase demand for power excessively before generation and transmission would be available to support it. Some went as far as to suggest banning crypto mining altogether.
has said it is behind in predicting needs regarding what is now a transmission chokepoint in San Antonio. “It’s useful in that it does give you locationally and directionally an idea of where the projects need to be built,” Rhodes said. “It’s a good way of directing investment to certain areas, … but to take those projects and say ‘We need to build a certain amount of generation’ is another story.
Texas Energy Fund Texas House Texas Blockchain Council Winter Storm Uri Senate Department Of Energy PJM University Of Texas At Austin AI CPS Artega David Spiller Juan Arteaga Woody Rickerson Joshua Rhodes Enverus Dan Patrick Greg Abbott Pablo Vegas Lee Bratcher R Texans Texas Capitol Arteaga Jacksboro Vegas Houston San Antonio Washington D.C. Public Utility Regulatory Act
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