An unexplained uptick in cancer diagnoses among Gen Xers might be bad news for millennials and Gen Z.
Per capita, Gen X isJAMA Network OpenThe forecast doesn’t look good for Gen Xers, who are starting to reach ages when cancers most often appear, say Philip Rosenberg, a biostatistician at U.S. National Cancer Institute in Rockville, Md. If the trend continues, millennials and younger generations might also experience more cancer, Rosenberg and his NCI colleague Adalberto Miranda-Filho warn.
Rosenberg and Miranda-Filho gathered data from 3.8 million people diagnosed with invasive cancer. The researchers compared generational differences in diagnoses of cancer at multiple sites in the body, and projected Gen X’s rate at age 60. Gen X is of an age to develop cancers, so the researchers could detect trends for them. Since millennials are not yet old enough to get many cancers, the team couldn’t make estimates for that generation.
But when combining all the cancers, the picture was bleak because the “gaining cancers numerically overtook falling cancers,” the researchers found.Generation X is being diagnosed with more cancer than earlier generations in the United States. Researchers lumped 20 leading cancers for women and 18 for men to forecast trends in overall cancer rates at age 60.
The uptick of cancer in Gen X “is like a yellow flag,” Rosenberg says. “These numbers suggest there are some unfavorable trajectories.” He hopes other researchers will use the data to uncover what is driving those increases and find ways to turn the trends around.
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