Get the latest Guardians vs. Tigers player props ahead of Game 3 of the ALDS. Free MLB picks, predictions, and player props for Wednesday, October 9.
Alex Cobb made just three starts this year so the jury is still out on how effective he can be. However, our MLB expert Tony Satori believes a pair of Tigers hitters are primed to jump on Cobb early and rack up their total bases.The Detroit Tigers host the Cleveland Guardians in Game 3 of the ALDS at Comerica Park on Wednesday. MLB odds have this game as a pick ‘em, while the total sits at seven.
However, his underlying metrics suggest that steep regression is looming as the right-hander sports a 4.87 xERA and ranks in the bottom half of the league in xBA, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate. I want to target this likely regression by fading Cobb in the prop market, considering that he ranks in the bottom quarter of the league in both whiff and strikeout rates.
As I highlighted in the previous section, Cobb particularly struggles with average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. Those are some of the best power analytics in baseball, and he only further improves when facing right-handed pitching. Through 264 plate appearances against right-handers this season, Carpenter produced a .305 BA, .631 SLG and .994 OPS.: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
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