No predictions, but there are a lot of “unknown unknowns” that might radically alter the campaign for president.
Whether these objections to Trump’s candidacy will work is unclear. Undoubtedly they will be tested in the courts. But the point here is that they could work and if they did, of course, they would throw the GOP nomination up for grabs.There is a candidate health scare.
Trump is obese, prone to fits of anger and is under enormous stress given his legal problems. Biden, though fit, could also get ill or stumble at an inopportune moment and, in either case, it is likely their health would immediately become a major issue. If they could no longer run or their recoveries kept them from the campaign trail for any protracted period of time, the negative political consequences could be significant.
Yes, some of Trump’s supporters might still vote for him post-conviction. But almost half of all Republicans and most independents and DemocratsNo one who has observed Donald Trump for even a brief period of time would be surprised if in the course of the campaign and of his trials, he made his legal situation worse by violating terms of his pretrial release or even committing new crimes .
Former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson, former New Jersey governor Chris Christie, former vice president Mike Pence, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, Sen. Tim Scott and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum debate in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on Aug. 23, 2023.A new candidate could enter the GOP race and catch fire.
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