This race could get weird.
when her seat is up next year. Usually, a Democrat wins a spot in the top-two primary system before going on to trounce whatever sacrificial Republican gets the second spot.
Rep. Katie Porter is one of three House representatives who wants to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein when her seat is up next year. | Francis Chung/POLITICO First, Early’s numbers could be inflated. He was the only Republican candidate listed in the survey, but he’s likely to face others. Last year’s Senate primary featured 10 candidates who identified as Republicans — the second-place finisher, Mark Meuser, earned just 15 percent of the vote.
“The open question is how competitive Lee would get,” said DiCamillo, the UC-Berkeley pollster. “If she’s going to have enough funding to get her message across, she certainly has a story to tell. If she still lags, that actually increases the odds of the top two Democrats — Porter and Schiff — moving forward.”
There’s always the possibility of Republicans issuing a protest vote. In 2018, Kevin de León, a former state Senate leader who’s now serving on the Los Angeles City Council, attracted a number of Republican votes, even though he was challenging Feinstein from the left.
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