Israel again rattles its sabre at Iran

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Israel again rattles its sabre at Iran
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Military action by America would be more powerful than an Israeli raid, not least because it has larger bunker-busting weapons

The “Blue Flag” exercises at the Ovda air base in the Negev desert are a form of military diplomacy, and a signal that Israel, the host, has friends. Israel is becoming the hinge of two emerging military groupings: an eastern Mediterranean one to fend off Turkey, and a Middle Eastern one to deter Iran. The number of Blue Flag participants has grown—seven countries, including India, exercised with Israel this year. The United Arab Emirates’ air-force chief watched as an honoured guest.

Israel has been here before, notably in 2009-12, when it threatened to bomb Iran but stayed its hand. Now, though, Iran is even closer to having the wherewithal to make atom bombs. That is in part because in 2018 Donald Trump abandoned a nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action , that limited Iran’s nuclear programme and opened it up to enhanced inspections in return for the partial lifting of international sanctions.

Israel’s operational challenges range from identifying the location of Iranian facilities to their level of fortification and anti-aircraft defences. Israel would be operating some 1,500km away from its bases, requiring air-to-air refuelling for many aircraft over potentially hostile territory. Some analysts believe it is all beyond Israel’s capabilities. Israeli military planners claim otherwise, saying they can do enough damage to set back Iran’s nuclear programme by some years.

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