If former President Donald Trump doesn’t join the other major Republican presidential candidates at the first debate next week, the spotlight will still shine on one of the biggest stories of the 2024 race.
The prevailing storyline is Trump's continued dominance, despite a slew of legal problems. But the subplot of the race is the failure of the other GOP candidates to launch.Nowhere is that clearer than in the case of Gov. Ron DeSantis , now nearly 40 points behind Trump in the national RealClearPolitics polling average and below 20% in the critical early states.
Trump makes fun of DeSantis as a standard line in his stump speech even in staid settings like state Republican fundraising dinners. The partisan crowd laughs along as Trump tells the tale of endorsing a Florida congressman for governor in 2018 only to have “that son of a bitch” turn around and run against him.
If Trump follows through on skipping the Republican National Committee debate, the key will be whether any of these candidates can thrive in his absence. Trump suspects that without the oxygen only he can provide by getting on that stage in Milwaukee, they will all suffocate. President Joe Biden came back from a near-death political experience to win the Democratic nomination in 2020. But the candidates ahead of him didn’t have the type of lead Trump has, nor had they led the party for eight years.
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