The Detroit Lions are favored to win a high-scoring game against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 18, determining the NFC North champion.
The NFC North is up for grabs Sunday night, and Detroit's offense will be too much for the Vikings to handle.The NFL regular season wraps up on Sunday night with a marquee matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions at Ford Field. My early Vikings vs. Lions predictions are betting on Detroit to outlast Minnesota in a high-scoring shootout in this Week 18 clash that will determine the No. 1 seed in the NFC.
The Lions are on a nine-game winning streak, but they lost 31-29 at home when these teams previously clashed in Week 7. The Lions are 8-0 against the spread in the last eight games in the head-to-head, and they've won outright in the previous four meetings. The Lions have been an ATS machine during the Dan Campbell era, going an incredible 37-16 ATS (69.8% cover rate) since the start of the 2022 season. Despite multiple key injuries on the defensive side of the ball, the Lions continue to get the job done and are fresh off a 40-34 comeback win against the 49ers on Monday night. Minnesota's defense blitzes at the highest rate in the NFL and needs to get to the passer if it wants to have success. However, Detroit's offensive line does an excellent job in pass protection, and The Lions quarterback is second in the league in passer rating (113.6) and has the sixth-best offensive grade (82.9) when blitzed, according to The Vikings have been giving up big plays, and they won't be able to contain a Lions attack third in the league in dropback EPA and fourth in rush EPA. With how dominant the Lions have been at home, I'm not betting against them at any spread below a field goal. This is the highest total of the season, but I'm still leaning towards the Over. There have previously been five games this year (with Detroit playing in four of them) with totals at 53 or above, and the Over is 4-1 in those contests. The Lions lead the league with 33.3 ppg, and for the reasons mentioned above, they should be able to move the ball against this blitz-happy Vikings
Detroit Lions Minnesota Vikings NFC North Week 18 NFL Predictions
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