Get Luka Doncic predictions, picks, and player prop odds 6-17, plus NBA Finals best bet and SGP for Mavs vs. Celtics.
Despite a blowout win in Game 4, it's been tough sledding for Luka Doncic & Co. in the NBA Finals. With the series now returning to Boston, our NBA betting picks expect the Celtics to get back to limiting Luka as well as anyone has this season.Whether he heard the criticism or not, Luka Doncic played like a man with something to prove in the Dallas Mavericks’ dramatic blowout of the Boston Celtics in Game 4, but can Luka & Co.
With a player of Luka’s caliber, there’s always going to be the worry that his performance is going to rebound toward career norms, but with the way the Celtics are playing him, I believe the chances of that are quite low. He averaged around 15 potential assists in the first three rounds of the playoffs, but that has cratered to just nine through four games against Boston. His assists in the Finals are coming mostly from pick-and-pop threes from above the break by more limited Mavs shooters. Those are inherently less reliable sources for assists than the lob dunks and wide-open corner threes he generated at will in previous rounds.
The way the Celtics are playing — cross-matching Jayson Tatum against the Dallas bigs — has shut off the water on Luka’s lob game. Dallas finally had luck making Boston pay for that strategy on the boards in Game 4, but I don’t expect Joe Mazzulla to overreact to one loss and shift away from a strategy that has them up 3-1 to begin with.— that once would have looked meager for him — are instead so enticing.
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