Both Biden and Sanders claim they can win back blue-collar Obama-Trump voters. Next Tuesday, Michigan will put them to the test — and potentially decide the nomination.
Over the next three months, Democrats will hold another 37 primaries and caucuses, in states and territories as large as New York and as remote as the Northern Marianas. But one of them could effectively decide the party’s presidential nomination — and it’s happening next Tuesday, March 10, in Michigan.
Both septuagenarians argue that they can defeat Donald Trump in part because of their unique appeal to these voters, who decided the 2016 election by flipping from Barack Obama to Trump in three pivotal Rust Belt states: Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Sanders’s case is less explicit. He frequently invokes the working class in his stump speech, but more as an abstraction than a concrete part of his electoral base. Instead, he tends to say that he will defeat Trump by turning out the largest “multiracial, multigenerational” coalition in American political history.Story continues“We can’t just rely on that suburban vote,” Ben Tulchin, Sanders’s pollster, recently told the Washington Post. “Bernie has unique appeal with working-class voters.
But the problem for Sanders is that Biden isn’t Hillary Clinton — and momentum tends to outweigh historical analogies. On Super Tuesday, Biden won non-college-educated white voters in eight states, according to the exit polls; Sanders won them in four. Crucially, Biden swept blue-collar whites in the two northern states most like Michigan: Minnesota and Massachusetts . That was a key reason why Biden upset Sanders in both primaries, which Sanders was widely expected to win.
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