New York Democrats have a Joe Biden problem
For the better part of four decades, Democrats in New York could count on their presidential candidate to run up the score every four years, helping them boost turnout in key congressional, state and local races down the ballot.
The trickle-down effect could have nationwide implications. Polls show Biden trailing Trump in the New York City suburbs, where a handful of competitive congressional races could decide which party controls the House of Representatives, much like they didNeither of them were an outlier. Since February, polls of New York voters have shown the gap between Biden and Trump slowly but steadily shrinking.
Independent voters — who make up about a quarter of all voters statewide — and suburban voters strongly supported Trump in the most recent Siena poll, a particular sign of hope for Republican congressional candidates in the Hudson Valley and on Long Island.lost by less than six points to Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul
Zeldin acknowledged it’s a “difficult, uphill battle” for any Republican to win a statewide race in New York, which hasn’t happened since Gov. George Pataki won reelection in 2002. But if Trump outperforms Biden in the suburbs, it would be a boon for his party, Zeldin said. Lawler — whose district includes all or part of Rockland, Westchester, Putnam and Dutchess counties — is facing a challenge from former Democratic Rep. Mondaire Jones, while Molinaro is facing lawyer Josh Riley and D’Esposito will square off with former Nassau County Executive Laura Gillen.
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