Seth Walder gives you some inside intel from ESPN Analytics to place last-minute bets on Sunday's Week 1 NFL games.
Your fantasy lineup is ready, the snacks are set, and a glorious afternoon of football viewing lies ahead of you. All that's left: making some last-minute bets. But we want to be a little smart about it, right? This close to kickoff, we ought to be somewhat picky about the types of bets we're making. Regular old game spreads and totals have been bet into all week - they're mature markets with high volume, and therefore difficult to beat.
Often that will mean looking for the obscure. It's what I like betting most, anyway. Last season I built, bet and tracked a game-level sacks model that was profitable. In 2023 I figured: let's expand! I'm an analytics writer here at ESPN, and so anything I want to bet is going to be, at absolute minimum, quantitatively-informed.
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