Nickel: contrarian opportunity or portfolio suicide?

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Nickel: contrarian opportunity or portfolio suicide?
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If you’re a close follower of commodity markets, you probably know the problems afflicting this sector. Surging output from Indonesia’s nickel laterite mines has flooded the market with new supply.

While it will take time, Indonesia’s dominance could create structural problems for the global nickel market. Concentrating supply into a single region will make the sector less responsive to rising demand. Sulphide deposits are scattered worldwide, from northern Europe, South Africa, Canada and Western Australia.

But of the two sources of nickel, sulphides are far easier to process and refine into high-purity products, the ideal choice when it comes to EV battery material. For this reason, sulphide miners have retained a competitive edge. It’s an interesting perspective. Chinese officials are known for under- or over-reporting figures to suit political motives.

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