A new report from the National Science Foundation shows the annual number of applications submitted has dropped by 17% over the past decade—but success rates jumped from 22% to 28% during the same period. AcademicTwitter
Federal research agencies strive to fund a healthy percentage of the grant applications they receive, ensuring that scientists can pursue their best ideas. A steadily rising budget is their preferred method for maintaining a robust success rate. But a fall in applications can have the same effect.
Higher success rates please researchers and administrators. “The ability of faculty to get funds for their research is the ultimate metric, and success rates tell you that,” says Sarah Nusser, a statistician and former vice president for research at Iowa State University. She says she “never paid much attention” to how many proposals faculty were submitting. But some policymakers wonder whether fewer cutting-edge research proposals could affect the nation’s ability to innovate.
A senior NSF official, however, isn’t sure the changes in the application process explain the overall drop in proposals. “The merit review report helps identify interesting trends and this is one of them,” says Erika Rissi of NSF’s Office of Integrative Activities, which does the analysis each year. “But the report doesn’t diagnose anything, so we don’t know why.”
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