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Robertson has helped open up the ground game, as the Bears rushed for 396 yards across his two starts. BYU’s passing offense has shined behind Jake Retzlaff, but the Cougars can’t run the ball and will be without top back LJ Martin on Saturday. The Bears rank 25th in EPA per play allowed and fifth in success rate allowed, including fourth in pass success rate allowed.
But Bowman hasn’t been awful this year, with the Pokes ranking in the top 40 in pass success rate and EPA per Dropback.And his deficiencies might not matter against a lifeless Kansas State secondary that ranks 74th in pass success rate allowed and has been shredded by chunk plays. The Illini were fortunate to win games against Kansas and Nebraska, needing a plus-four turnover margin to pull out both victories.
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