A new statistical method used by the U.S. Census Bureau to protect confidentiality has made people and occupied homes vanish, at least on paper.
The three-bedroom colonial-style house where Jessica Stephenson has lived in Milwaukee for the last six years bustles with activity on any given weekday, filled with the chattering of children in the daycare center she runs out of her home.“They should come and see it for themselves,” Stephenson said.
But some city officials and demographers think it veers too far from reality — and could cause errors in the data used for drawing political districts and distributing federal funds.Cinematographer Halyna Hutchins, one of American Cinematographer’s Rising Stars, was killed on the set of ‘Rust.’ Here’s everything we know so far.
What’s certain is that the method can produce weird, contradictory and false results at the smallest geographic levels, such as neighborhood blocks. And in an enclave of Hasidic Jews located in Kiamesha Lake, N.Y., 81 people are recorded as residents, but the census officially says there are no occupied homes. Sullivan County property records show almost a dozen homes whose residents have ties to the Vizhnitzer Hasidic community.
The scale of the changes become clearer when viewed through a broader lens. For Florida, the nation’s third most populous state with more than 21 million residents, the 2020 census listed 15,000 neighborhood blocks as having a total of 200,000 residents but no occupied homes.
That claim is hard to evaluate since the raw data without the application of differential privacy are not being made public, said Stefan Rayer, a University of Florida demographer.Using test data, the Harvard researchers found that differential privacy was more likely to undercount mixed-race and mixed-partisan precincts, “yielding unpredictable racial and partisan biases,” because it prioritizes the accuracy of the population count for the largest racial group in a given area.
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