Could the Eagles' decline continue into 2024? We projected five teams most likely to lose more games than they did last season.
, with episodes released once a week. Barnwell joined ESPN in 2011 as a staff writer at Grantland. Follow him on Twitter here:
The résumé is the résumé. Leave the Mike Tomlin aura out of the picture and there's no more obvious pick for a team whose win-loss record doesn't hold up under any sort of scrutiny. The Steelers will find it extremely difficult to win 10 games again if they play the way they did in 2023.
The Steelers have been spectacularly efficient over the past few years in terms of outplaying their point differential. Over the past three seasons, they have six more wins than we would have. That's the fourth-largest gap between win total and expected win total over a three-year span since 1989. Is that enough to prove they're the exception to the rules that usually apply to other teams?
On the other hand, there are reasons to be excited about what surrounds those players. The Steelers nailed their Day 2 picks in the 2023 draft, as both cornerback. And while Pittsburgh was once known for avoiding free agency and building from within, general manager Omar Khan made a big splash by signing awayDan Graziano and Bart Scott discuss the Steelers QB battle between Russell Wilson and Justin Fields.
It's time for another repeating team on this list, but unlike the Steelers, the Giants lived down to our expectations last season. There was plenty of hype surrounding& Co. this time a year ago, and the fan base seemed to fall into an argument that almost never goes well. If you're telling yourself that everything that went wrong last year was fixed and everything that went right will keep happening, you're probably too optimistic about your team.
Philadelphia went 7-3 in one-score games. And while some of those games might not have been as close as they seemed, taking a look back reveals some underwhelming performances: You're already familiar with the defensive collapse the Eagles endured last season. High school teams typically make fewer coverage mistakes than they made at their worst in 2023. A pass rush one year removed from racking up 70 sacks went totally dry, as over the second half of the season, they ranked 30th in sack rate and 28th in pressure rate. The team essentially.
Kelce's departure also raises questions about the get-out-of-jail-free card that has helped propel the Eagles on offense over the past two seasons. Will theis still part of the pushing equation -- we saw they were more effective at running their fabled sneak than just about any other team last season -- but you have to figure Kelce played at least a small role in making Philly's fourth-down play work.
The 49ers were in position to pull out a last-second victory when they drove into field goal range while trailing the Browns 19-17, only for kicker Schwartz's top nine defenders by snap count from a year ago are returning, and with so many of those players in the prime of their careers, it's fair to expect the Browns to rank among the league's best defenses again. Can they count on being quite as good as they were, though? I'm not sure, owing to an old Bill James corollary known as the
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