S&P 500: 4400 Resistance Looms as Index Draws Fresh Breath From Hot Retail Sales

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S&P 500: 4400 Resistance Looms as Index Draws Fresh Breath From Hot Retail Sales
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Market Overview Analysis by Michael Kramer covering: S&P 500, iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, SPDR® S&P 500, S&P 500 Futures. Read Michael Kramer's latest article on Investing.com

report. This led to a sharp decline in the morning for stocks, only for the declines to be erased and the index to turn positive midday.

rose sharply yesterday and made a new cycle closing high; it didn’t take long for it to come and test the highs of the past 2-weeks. If it did break out of a bull flag, then I think it is possible for the 10-year to push higher to around 5.25%. The economy and inflation rates support higher yields at this point.has been playing nice, but I’m not sure how much longer that will be the case, especially if a bull flag has formed in oil; if so, then oil is probably heading back over $90 on WTI.).

What is noticeably different going into this quarter’s report versus prior quarters is that implied volatility is much lower, and the IV for puts is trading higher than the calls. That could change yesterday some, but that is not what was seen in July. This may suggest we don’t see a big move in the stock today.), with implied volatility ramped up and near some of the extremes seen in prior results. However, this time the PUTS carry the higher implied volatility, versus the calls in July.

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