U.S. stock index futures were little changed during overnight trading Sunday.
An often-cited recession signal was triggered Thursday evening when the the 2-year and 10-year treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019.
"We think the current flattening is due to the concern that the Fed is behind the curve on hikes and will tighten policy beyond neutral, which will hurt growth," TD Securities said in a note to clients. Investors are also monitoring the latest developments in Ukraine. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said Sunday that Western nations will impost additional sanctions on Russia in the coming days.
"Equity and bond markets continued to send conflicting signals about the economic outlook," UBS said in a recent note to clients."We caution against over-interpreting either signal. Yield curve inversions have historically predicted recessions with a long and uncertain lag, while hopes over cease-fire talks have ebbed and flowed," the firm added.
On Wednesday the Federal Open Market Committee will publish the minutes from the central bank's March meeting, giving investors a deeper understanding into how the Fed views market conditions.
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