NBA predictions, picks, and odds for the Phoenix Suns at New Orleans Pelicans on 4-1. NBA best bets and same-game parlay analysis.
The Suns and Pelicans are neck and neck in the playoff race and while the Suns may be without Brandom Ingram, our NBA picks believe they have enough offense to defend home court against a struggling Suns team.
The greatest New Orleans difference in the last five games without Ingram has been offensively, unsurprisingly. Comparing the month before his injury to the five games since, the Pelicans’ offense is scoring 3.7 points fewer per 100 possessions. But some of that dropoff should be ascribed to New Orleans’ opponents.
Losing Ingram’s shotmaking has mattered, with the Pelicans going 3-2 outright without him and 2-3 against the spread. Losing his length will cost them defensively at some point, but it has not yet. Zion Williamson’s shot selection is drastically different than Ingram’s, and only Trey Murphy shoots nearly as well from deep as Ingram and McCollum. Murphy’s production has slipped of late, a better defender on him with Ingram sidelined. McCollum still faces the same point guard-quality defender he did before Ingram’s injury. And against that defense, McCollum’s increased workload leads to increased production.
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