The Chiefs opened as slim chalk, but early betting action quickly flipped the Eagles to the favorites.
The opening spread for Super Bowl LVII was all over the place, with books likeSome operators were on the fence, with a pick’em line as the opener in the minutes after the Super Bowl matchup was finalized. From there, early play showed up on Philadelphia and moved the market consensus from Kansas City -1 to Philly -1. That spread climbed as high as Eagles -2.5 before some buyback on the Chiefs slimmed the spread to -2.in Las Vegas had a look-ahead line of Kansas City -1.
In the first minutes of action, the total dipped to as low as 49 points at some respected books in Las Vegas, while the majority of mainstream operators dealt 49.5. There are some 50-point totals still available as we close in on 11 p.m. ET Sunday night. While the Eagles and Chiefs have some star power on offense, these teams have success rooted in the stop unit. Philadelphia has been among the defensive elite for most of the season, ranking No. 4 in EPA allowed per play on the year, while Kansas City seems to be peaking defensively at the right time — as it sits No. 6 in EPA allowed per play since Week 15.
The Chiefs have gone Under the total in four of their last five outings while the Eagles are 0-4 Over/Under in their last four contests.Keeping things simple for NFL bettors is the Super Bowl LVII moneyline — odds on which team will win outright. The moneyline varied in the opening minutes of betting, with Philadelphia priced as a +103 underdog but quickly moving into the role of outright favorite.
The Eagles were bet up as high as -140 before buyback on the Chiefs at plus-money slimmed Philly to -135, with Kansas City coming back as a +115 moneyline underdog in the Super Bowl. Setting that as the market consensus, the -135 price tag carries with it an implied win probability of 57.45% for Philadelphia, while Kansas City at +115 has a win probability of 46.51%.Previous moneyline movement
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