For more than 30 years, Super Tuesday has been the biggest day in the presidential nominating contest. A strong showing can launch a candidate to the nomination, a weak one can virtually end a campaign.
Democratic presidential candidate and former Vice President Joe Biden speaks as his wife Jill Biden, far right, and daughter Ashley stand by during his primary election night rally in Columbia, S.C., Saturday, Feb. 29, 2020, after winning the South Carolina primary.
This year’s collection of Super Tuesday states includes California and Texas along with several swing states from all regions of the country, suggesting a test of national appeal. But will the most liberal candidate in the race, Sen. Bernie Sanders, prevail, or will strong, more moderate competitors emerge?
This year there are echoes of 1988, with a cluster of moderate candidates trying to blunt the rise of Sanders, who won New Hampshire and Nevada and finished in a virtual tie for first in Iowa. Joe Biden’s decisive South Carolina primary victory will alter the dynamics, but Sanders will still enter Tuesday’s contest as the best-positioned candidate.
Sanders has run television ads in every Super Tuesday state except Utah. But Bloomberg is outspending him more than 10 to 1 on in California and Texas. Sanders has campaigned aggressively in California, calling it one of the “first 5” states, and is hoping for victory and a load of delegates with it. The only other candidate to spend more than token amounts in either state is Tom Steyer, who spent more than $25.
“In some election years, it pretty much determines the outcome,” said Barbara Norrander, a professor in the School of Government and Public Policy at the University of Arizona who has written a book on Super Tuesday. “Other times, Super Tuesday kind of narrows it down to the front two or the front three.”
It was “the proof that Gore’s operation and his campaign had resonance among a broad swath of the Democratic nominating electorate,” said Michael Feldman, a former Gore aide. “Iowa is a specific thing, New Hampshire is a specific thing, but Super Tuesday was the first real test of on a national scale among broad swaths of voters, where the message and the candidate, and the idea of the campaign, is what carries the day.
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