An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds.
** A large tropical wave is moving off the coast of Africa & - while it is likely to develop - should stay far out to sea over the E. & Central Atlantic.’ - that moved off the coast of Africa this past weekend has been upgraded to tropical depression #13 & will soon be “Lee”. T.D. #13 will move over the main development region through the weekend & appears destined to become a textbook long track hurricane. There *COULD* be a threat to parts of the Caribbean &/or the U.S.
If this is a threat for any of the U.S. lower 48, it would appear to be north of Jacksonville... & it’s possible it could stay east of the entire eastern seaboard but way too early to know definitively. The forecast models are in remarkably good agreement at the moment showing a powerful hurricane with the GFS generally a little faster with forward movement vs. the European.
The next two images from University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee - the first one is the spaghetti plot... 2nd one is interesting & shows the top 10 analog tracks for where t.d. #13 is located....
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