Thailand’s populist Pheu Thai party said Monday it will form a new 11-party coalition government that includes two pro-military parties in a move that could end the three-month political stalemate that has seized Thailand since elections in May.
The development, which officials said was likely to see real estate tycoon and Pheu Thai nominee Srettha Thavisin named as the country’s new leader, marks the latest twist in what has been a difficult-to-control roller coaster of Thai politics over the past two decades.
But Mr. Pita and Move Forward now appear destined to be once again on the outside looking in, with military-linked parties having joined with Pheu Thai to give it control of the government. With that as a backdrop, the May election set in motion a stalemate that saw Thailand’s Constitutional Court effectively clear the way last week for Parliament to reject Mr. Pita’s proposed eight-party coalition, which could never win enough votes under the military regime-written constitution that seemed specifically drafted to frustrate the forces of change.
“The military will continue to have substantial powers in areas important to it,” former Foreign Minister Kantathi Suphamongkhon said in a recent interview. The Pentagon now stages several annual military exercises with Thai forces, including the Cobra Gold drills on Thailand‘s territory, the largest multilateral military exercise in Asia.But Bangkok’s military links with Washington are also being judged in the aftermath of the U.S. defeat in Afghanistan, and with concern over the U.S.-China confrontation escalating in the South China Sea.
While the U.S. teaches the Thai navy to operate submarines off southwest Thailand in the Andaman Sea, Thailand‘s navy is considering the purchase of three subs from China, which claims areas of the South China Sea which can be accessed from the shallow gulf. “The current constitution places the military’s role as part of the country’s development, meaning that both its budget and its influence, as well as its political power, continue to exert influence,” Rangsit University political science lecturer Wanwichit Boonprong said in a recent interview, predicting the government is unlikely to embrace ambitious plans for reform.
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