Split Ticket, in a joint venture with POLITICO, divided the nation's counties into eight clusters based on their demographics and political orientation.
These aren’t metropolitan areas, but they’re not quite rural, either. A lot of people live in these fairly populated, low-density areas, and they’re usually quite white and Republican. This cluster extends beyond the suburbs and generally accounts for the largest raw number of Republican votes — crucial to GOP dominance in states such as North Carolina.This cluster broadly consists of suburban counties withlarge concentrations of college-educated voters.
This cluster contains two flavors of rural counties: those that were once reliably Democratic but have since moved rapidly into the GOP column and those that have been consistently Republican. As the electorate’s realignment along educational lines accelerated in the Trump era, Republicans made massive gains in these heavily white counties that have low levels of degree attainment. These counties geographically dominate the Midwest and now broadly power Republican wins in the region.
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