A potential victory for Evan McMullin in Utah would leave the independent with a lot of bargaining power.
and the Hinckley Institute of Politics found that 41 percent of Utahns would have voted for Lee and 37 percent would have backed McMullin if the election were held on that day, showing the two candidates were locked in a close battle for the state's Senate seat.
"Evan McMullin is unlikely to defeat Republican incumbent Mike Lee," Jonathan Parker, senior lecturer in American Studies at Keele University in the U.K., told"The latest poll out of Utah from Emerson College puts Lee up by 10 points, and polls generally appear to be moving to the' favor as the campaign ends. While McMullin is an independent, he will be relying on Democratic voters to win. Fewer of those mean his final tally will be going down.
"Despite ample levels of support for an independent candidate, Evan McMullin is unlikely to unseat Mike Lee in Utah. Lee has maintained an average [8-point] lead in the polls, including the support of over 70 percent of Republican voters which will likely be enough to carry him to victory," she toldBut political scientists love to entertain"crazy hypotheticals" such as McMullin winning the Utah Senate race, said Parker.
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