The Russia-Ukraine war is causing wheat shortages. Here's why Canada can't really help

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The Russia-Ukraine war is causing wheat shortages. Here's why Canada can't really help
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As with questions of replacing Russian oil and gas, the issue is complicated, and Canada can only help out to a limited degree, and not especially quickly,…

“The price of these sanctions is not just imposed upon Russia, it’s imposed upon an awful lot of countries as well,” said Biden Thursday. “We are in the process of working out, with our European friends, what it would be — what it would take to help alleviate the concerns relative to food shortages.”

Since Russia invaded Ukraine last month, concerns have been raised about global food shortages because the two nations are major exporters of wheat, and other agricultural commodities, and many of those exports go to underdeveloped nations that are major importers of food. As of December, Canada’s wheat stockpile sat at around 15 million metric tonnes, 38 per cent lower than the year before, because of a crippling drought in parts of the country. Even if Canada has the wheat to fill demand, shipping it around the world could be a problem, especially if it’s needed on a short time schedule.

“The situation is very serious for people in certain countries because, sure, it’s just a temporary local shortage, but a temporary local shortage that lasts a week can kill you,” said Taber. “And the best thing that people in wealthier western countries can do is just settle down.”Article content It has led to some governments taking action, already: In Egypt, the largest wheat importer in the world, the government moved to fix the price of bread to guard against price hikes. Lebanon, which receives around 60 per cent of its wheat from Ukraine, has sought to purchase stockpiles from India.

“It certainly won’t affect our harvest and won’t really have that big influence on seeding, simply because plans are made and field crop rotations are pretty sound so it’s not like we can just suddenly swing into a bunch of more wheat acres,” Wickett said. “Wheat prices have increased to the point where they’re likely profitable, if you can get the yields, but also all the other commodities have increased as well,” said Bill Prybylski, who farms in eastern Saskatchewan, and is the vice-president of the Agricultural Producers Association of Saskatchewan.Article content

Even before Russia invaded Ukraine, the world was experiencing food inflation; costs are about 20 per cent higher, globally, than one year ago. The spike in wheat prices won’t have as much of an effect on Canadians’ ability to buy a loaf of bread, because the production costs reflected in the price at a grocery store are dwarfed by others, such as transportation.

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