When the pandemic hit and when Russia invaded Ukraine, a rally-around-the-flag effect waned as the responses became open-ended and success was left undefined.
Both crises began with a rally-around-the-flag effect. As the virus tore through New York City in March 2020, the countryon the necessity of mitigation measures. And when Russian troops invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Americans united in support of Kyiv’s defenders.
But it wasn’t long before coronavirus restrictions became a culture-war flash point. Conservatives argued that the restrictions were burdening the economy, education and other parts of social and community life. The war in Ukraine has also polarized the public over time, with a recent that 71 percent of Republicans oppose new funding for Kyiv. Among Democrats, 62 percent support new funding.What both crises have in common is the failure of experts to explain when they would end. Republicans broadly supported measures to respond to each crisis, but grew suspicious as the measures seemed to extend indefinitely. That drift can create the impression that experts either don’t know what their end-goal is or prefer to conceal it.
This was especially evident in the coronavirus response. Immediate closures and mask mandates intended to prevent hospital overcrowding in 2020 became generalized measures to slow the virus’s spread until vaccines arrived. Even when vaccines became generally available in early 2021, public health experts pushed to continue restrictions for more than a year as new variants emerged.
The U.S. involvement in Ukraine’s defense has similarly featured ambiguous objectives. President Biden has said the United States will back Ukraine “
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