When every candidate has a serious shortcoming, any candidate can win.
MANCHESTER, N.H. — The final Joe Biden event in New Hampshire took place at a church in Manchester, the state’s biggest city. Over the weekend I saw two of his opponents, Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar, at events in smaller towns that attracted crowds of a thousand or more. Less than two miles away, Donald Trump was speaking at an arena of around 12,000 people, including some who camped out overnight in sub-freezing temperatures to get in.
For almost a year, Biden’s opponents waited patiently for his widely predicted collapse. It never came. The majority of them — Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Swalwell, Inslee, de Blasio, O’Rourke, Bullock, Harris, Castro, Booker, Delaney — gave up or ran out of money waiting. MANCHESTER, NH - FEBRUARY 10: Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden speaks during a campaign event on February 10, 2020 in Manchester, New Hampshire. New Hampshire holds its first in the nation primary tomorrow. | Scott Eisen/Getty Images
“We'll get through Nevada and South Carolina,” one of Klobuchar’s senior advisers told me, "and then I think in the end you're gonna have three candidates and it's not out of the question that the three end up being Amy, Pete, and Bernie.” Plausible! Sanders may be the only candidate whose emergence as the potential nominee would assure that Mike Bloomberg does not stand down after South Carolina. Those all could be arguments for why his opponents will remain divided and aid his eventual victory, but it would be a long war of attrition, not a blitzkrieg.
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