It is not uncommon for political commentators to call a late-breaking story during a presidential election an 'October surprise' — even when there is little evidence that it mattered all that much.
It is not uncommon for political commentators to call a late-breaking story during a presidential election an"October surprise" — even when there is little evidence that it mattered all that much."I Voted Early" stickers are made available at the Minneapolis Elections & Voter Services building on Sept. 20 in Minneapolis, Minn., on the first day of early voting in the state.
Vice President Harris speaks to the media before boarding Air Force Two after assessing the Hurricane Helene recovery response in North Carolina on Oct. 5. Some political pundits have described the storm as an October surprise.But even if nothing takes place that really matches the description, the phrase gets a workout every four years.
But several of these have been part of a larger process — such as the legal system or the hurricane season — with its own rhythms and timetables. So none so far has had the true element of surprise that would seem necessary for an actual OctoberNonetheless, campaigns regularly fling the phrase as an accusation, adding at least a whiff of skullduggery.
In 1992, incumbent President George H.W. Bush was staging something of a comeback in the fall against the upstart Democratic nominee, Arkansas Gov. Bill Clinton. Then former Defense Secretary Caspar Weinberger was indicted for his role years earlier in what had been called the Iran-Contra scandal. The case involved the sale of arms to Iran in exchange for Iran’s assistance in winning the release of a different set of hostages during Reagan’s White House tenure.
One such occasion was the 2016 contest between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. In early October much of the nation was shocked to hear the bawdy way Trump spoke of women while preparing to tape a 2005 episode of the TV showMajor figures in the party such as national chairman Reince Priebus denounced the remarks and privately told Trump he would lose in a landslide.But Trump seemed unperturbed.
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