Tai Tuivasa vs Alexander Volkov odds for UFC 293 betting. Picks and predictions for Tai Tuivasa vs Alexander Volkov on September 9, 2023.
Fight prediction: Volkov ML
In Tai Tuivasa's previous two homecoming fights, he couldn’t escape the second round as Sergei Spivak submitted him, and Junior Dos Santos stopped him. Although he rebounded with a four-fight win streak against nominal opposition, recent losses to Ciryl Gane and Sergei Pavlovich were conclusive enough to rightfully lower our expectations.
Volkov, standing tall at 6-foot-7 with an 80-inch reach, is a refined striker with a strong track record against elite opponents. While he may never be a champion, Volkov has a better track record, with losses only coming against the top tier of the division. Volkov showcased his skills with a pair of first-round KO wins in his last two bouts against Jairinzho Rozenstruik and Alexander Romanov.
Tuivasa is likely to struggle to get inside Volkov's reach and might absorb jabs and body kicks in his attempts to land a significant strike. Volkov's experience, superior technique, and recent form make it challenging for Tuivasa to do anything other than rely on his punching power. When Volkov faces one-dimensional opponents like Tuivasa, he tends to turn out exceptional performances.
All signs point to the favorite getting the win. Tuivasa’s slightly negative differential in significant strikes doesn’t bode well against a methodical striker like Volkov.
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