Get Rosas Jr. vs Turcios predictions, picks, and odds for 6-8, plus UFC Fight Night fight prediction and best bet analysis.
UFC Fight Night's featured undercard bout pits Rosas Jr. vs Turcios in what should be a close fight throughout. Given both fighters' inability to finish fights, our UFC expert believes this one goes Over 2.5 rounds.Rosas is an evolving talent and a grappling menace, but Turcios may have all the trouble he can handle in a fight that looks to be too close to call.have Rosas a -240 favorite, with Turcios a live dog at +190.
Lucky for him, Turcios has substandard takedown defense and was brought to the mat seven times in his last fight against Kevin Natividad. He was able to scramble back to his feet and relied on his volume striking to eke out a decision, but Rosas being the stronger ground technician won't give him the same escape opportunities.
The longer he stays down there, the less time he'll have to steal back the rounds with his work rate and the possibility of a submission gets dangerously high. At the same time, Turcios is not a big striker and relies on volume, so he isn't going to land the kind of shots that will make Rosas wary of shooting in.
However, Turcios manages to not just get off the mat but doesn’t seem phased physically or mentally. He just keeps coming forward and tries to recapture the momentum with his volume and pressure. It’s worked to the point that in those fights where it would be certain he’d lose due to the number of takedowns he’s absorbed, that he’d lose on the cards, but he actually won those fights because he was simply overwhelming with his striking.
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