US 10-year Yield: Any break below 3% should prove short-lived – ING Bonds Fed UnitedStates Banks
The move down to 3% should be classed as an overshoot to the downsideis to look at the futures strip as far out as it goes and add a moderate premium to this . Employing that, we find that by mid-2024, the implied Fed funds rate is 3.5%. The“That 3% level is key for us, as it provides a target for the 10yr yield to aim for. Evidence of stress in the banking sector and tightening in credit conditions is likely to push us in that direction in the coming months or maybe even sooner.
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