USD/CAD retakes 1.3600 amid broad-based USD strength, shrugs off rebounding Oil prices – by hareshmenghani USDCAD Fed Bonds Recession Currencies
buying interest.
Following a brief pause on Monday, the USD is back in demand and remains pinned near a seven-month high amid the prospects for further policy tightening by the Federal Reserve. The markets now seem convinced that the US central bank will have to raise rates more than initially expected to tame stubbornly high inflation. The bets were lifted by the US PCE Price Index released last Friday, which indicated that inflation isn't coming down quite as fast as hoped.
Moreover, the incoming positive US macro data point to an economy that remains resilient despite rising borrowing costs and should allow the Fed to stick to its hawkish stance for longer. This, in turn, triggers a resh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields and continues to lend support to the USD. Apart from this, a generally weaker risk tone - amid looming recession risks and geopolitical tensions - benefits the Greenback's relative safe-haven status.
The USD/CAD bulls, meanwhile, seem unaffected by a goodish pickup in Crude Oil prices, which tend to underpin the commodity-linked Loonie. This, in turn, suggests that the path of least resistance for the pair is to the upside. Traders now look forward to the release of the monthly Canadian GDP, due later during the early North American session. Thefeatures the Conference Board's US Consumer Confidence Index and regional manufacturing PMIs.
This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, will drive demand for the buck. Apart from this, Oil price dynamics should provide some impetus to
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