The Minnesota Vikings, despite their impressive 12-2 record, face a challenging final three games of the regular season. A machine simulation predicts a tougher road ahead for the Vikings compared to the Philadelphia Eagles and Detroit Lions, who are favored to finish with 14-3 records.
After defeating the Bears 30-12 on Monday night, the Minnesota Vikings hold a 12-2 record, tying with the Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles for the best in the NFC. Despite this success, a machine that simulates games thousands of times, factoring in injuries, predicts the Eagles and Lions to finish 14-3 while the Vikings end at 13-4. The machine favors the Lions for the No. 1 seed at 49%, followed by the Eagles at 41% and the Vikings at only 10%.
The Vikings face a challenging final three games, starting with a road trip to the Chicago Bears, followed by a tough matchup against the San Francisco 49ers and a home game against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 18. The Eagles, meanwhile, open as 2-point favorites against the Washington Commanders in Week 16 and are projected to win by the machine at 54%. In Week 17, the machine predicts a dominant Eagles victory against the New York Giants with an 80% chance. Week 18 sees the Eagles facing the Detroit Lions, where the machine gives them an 82% chance of winning. The Vikings have opened as a half-point road favorite against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 16, with the machine predicting a close game with a 51% chance of victory for the Vikings. The regular season finale against the Detroit Lions, despite the Lions' injuries, favors the Vikings with only a 36% chance of winning
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