The 'House of Gucci' star seemed well positioned to land a best actress nom, having been nominated by every major precursor, but the Academy’s membership is no longer similar to other groups’. Plus, the movie itself was divisive.
Acting Oscar noms are determined by the Academy’s actors branch. Given that most branch members are American, and most American actors belong to the nation’s largest actors union, the SAG Awards were long thought to offer a strong indication of how the Academy’s actors branch felt. But in recent years, SAG merged with AFTRA , resulting in an influx of everyone from TV meteorologists to radio talk-show hosts; more recently, the guild began admitting TikTokers, too.
Furthermore, the Academy has made a concerted effort to become a more international organization, with members abroad accounting for 12 percent in 2015 but 25 percent today. In other words, the people who pick the SAG Award noms — or almost any of the noms from precursor awards, including the others landed by Gaga — and the Oscar noms are no longer very similar..
Pundits and fans have been pondering other possible explanations for Gaga’s snub. Did she turn off people by taking herself too seriously in interviews to promote the film ? Did voters who liked her work incorrectly assume that her nom was secure and instead vote for others? Something else? We’ll never know.
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